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overview

publishing

labels

performance



section heading icon     overview

     shape of the market

A handful of music companies (operating through several hundred subsidiaries and over a thousand labels) account for most records sold in the advanced economies. Music publishing - production of scores and licensing of intellectual property (IP) rights - is even more concentrated.

With the exception of EMI all the major companies are part of larger entertainment conglomerates. While the popular image of 'the music industry' is that of record companies - pressing and distributing bits of shellac or plastic - since the 1950s most of the commercial action has involved groups that embrace record manufacture/distribution, rights licensing and print publishing. For much of that time rights licensing has been more profitable than pushing plastic.

    
evolution

Over the past 100 to 150 years we've seen the 'music industry' evolve through three basic stages, characterised by different technologies and different publishing organisations:

1. prior to the gramophone, when sheet music was the primary vehicle for disseminating popular music, the industry was dominated by music publishing houses

2. with the rise of recording (and subsequently broadcasting, which was driven by the availability of 'canned content'), those publishers were displaced by the record companies

3. increasingly the industry has involved entertainment groups that bring together a broad range of content distribution and repackaging activities - broadcast, film, video, booking and performance management agencies, records, music licensing, print publishing.

     value

There are no authoritative figures for the number of people listening to recordings (or enjoying the creativity of particular composers/performers).

The London-based International Federation of the Phonographic Industry (IFPI), one of the industry associations, claims that in 2000 the global music market was worth US$38.5 billion.

    
structure

In 1999 the five largest record companies controlled 84% of the 755 million albums sold in the US: 26.3% by what's now Vivendi Universal (eg Polygram), 16.2% by Sony Music (eg Columbia), 16% by Bertelsmann (eg BMG and RCA Victor), 15.7% by AOL Time Warner, 9.4% by EMI.

A 1998 estimate suggests that global shares were Vivendi with 27%, AOL Time Warner with 20%, Sony with 18%, EMI (inc Virgin) with 16% and Bertelsmann with 14%.

The US appears to account for 37% share of global sales in 1998. The next largest markets were Japan (16.7%), the United Kingdom (7.6%), Germany (7.4%), France (5.2%), Canada (2.3%), Brazil (1.7%), Australia (1.7%), Spain (1.7%), and Mexico (1.6%). Per capita consumption thus varies considerably.

    
volatility

It is often imagined that the industry has always consisted of a few large, stable businesses making very large amounts of money. An historical perspective indicates that life in the music business has been more volatile.

The 'majors' trace their history to the 1880s and 1890s, predating the film studios and broadcasters by whom they were absorbed last century. As with the automobile industry, the majors have leveraged what Alfred Chandler characterised as 'scale and scope' in dealing with recurrent outbreaks of competition from independent record labels.

In essence, they've had better access to capital, licensing and distribution arrangements (although often poorer skills in identifying and nurturing talent) than the 'independents'. Periodically a new wave of independents has appeared - for example in contemporary music in the late 1940s and 1970s - only to be coopted through distribution deals and then bought out. When majors couldn't buy their smaller competitors they've tended to simply buy the performers.

As an example of that volatility during the period
from 1955 to 1959 four major labels in the US lost 34% of their market share (down from 78% to 44%), with a further 18% decline up to 1962. Independent record companies went from a 21.6% share of the pop market in 1955 to a 66.3% share in 1959, although that market had tripled in size. By 1973 the top four had 51% of the US market (the top ten had 92%) through acquisition of the independents or their artists and natural attrition.

Looking at the overall industry in the US, revenue from record sales reached what was probably an historic peak (allowing for inflation and purchasing power) in
1921. Sales in that year were US$106 million, dropping by 40% over the following three years with the growth of broadcasting and further declining to US$6 million in 1933. By 1954 sales in the US were US$213 million, climbing to US$603 million in 1959. Rock and roll increased from 15.7% of the popular market in 1955 to 42.7% in 1959.

In 1969 one industry estimate was that international sales of recorded music were over US$2 billion. By 1978 that had increased to US$10 billion. Five international groups had over 70% of those sales. Three were US-owned and New York-based. The fourth was UK-owned. The US RCA and CBS groups reported that over half their sales were from overseas subsidiaries or licencing.

In 1980 global sales were an estimated US
$11.4 billion, declining to US$9.4 billion in 1983. Three years later, as the first wave of digital technology crashed onto the shore, sale of 53 million CDs generated roughly as much income (US$930 million) as that from 125 million LPs (US$983 million).

By the end of 2000, after a decade of acquisition and asset trading, only one of the Big Five - part of the AOL Time Warner conglomerate - was US owned.

Global Market Shares of Major Players in 1996
  Polygram
%
Sony
%
Warner
%
EMI
%
BMG
%
Market Value
US$bn
Australia 13 27 18 18 6 0.7
Canada 20 13 24 10 8 1.1
US 13 14 22 10 12 12.1
Japan 13 18 7 14 8 7.6
Germany 23 12 13 22 15 3.3
UK 22 13 11 22 9 2.6
France 32 25 13 19 11 2.4
Netherlands 23 14 8 15 13 0.7
Italy 19 16 17 15 24 0.6
Korea 10 5 4 5 5 0.5
Sweden 20 19 13 26 22 0.3
Taiwan 17 5 14 6 5 0.3
World 13 13 14 16 14 35.5

subsection heading icon    background

Particular studies are included in accounts of specific media groups.

Singers in the Marketplace: The Economics of the Singing Profession (Oxford: Oxford Uni Press 1993) by Ruth Towse

The Composer in the Marketplace (
London: Faber 1975) by Alan Peacock & Ronald Weir

Entertainment Industry Economics: A Guide for Financial Analysis (Cambridge: Cambridge Uni Press 1996) by Harold Vogel

When The Music Stops (New York: Simon & Schuster 1996)
by Norman Lebrecht

The Global Jukebox: The International Music Industry (London: Routledge 1996)
by Robert Burnett

American Popular Music & Its Business (New York: Oxford Uni Press 1988)
by Russell Sanjek

Music & Copyright (Edinburgh: Edinburgh Uni Press 1993)
edited by Simon Frith

Rock n Roll Is Here to Pay: The History and Politics of the Music Industry (Chicago: Nelson-Hall 1977)
by Steve Chapple & Reebee Garofalo





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version of October 2002
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